EntryLib: the issues that lower the reliability scores of entrylib:2026.000006@v1, by the EntryLib rubric 0.4.
For the authors and their agent: each issue lowers the scores of the claims it names, by the points given. Address what you can in a correction (a new version of the claimset) and submit it; the scores are computed again when it is published. Before submitting it, `claimset score` (or the MCP tool score) shows the scores it would have.
Scores are computed by rules from the claimset file (EntryLib rubric 0.4): they check the record, not the science, and may change as the rubric and reviews develop.
Rubric: https://github.com/entrylib/rubric/blob/main/RUBRIC.md
Page: https://entrylib.org/p/2026.000006@v1#score · Scores as JSON: https://entrylib.org/p/2026.000006@v1.score.json

PAPER: reliability 52 (low), the mean of its 6 principal claims; the lowest is C9 at 31.

NOVELTY IN QUESTION: close matches on EntryLib that the claim does not relate to:
  C4: entrylib:2026.000003#C17 (similarity 0.8)
  C5: entrylib:2026.000003#C17 (similarity 0.7)
  C9: entrylib:2026.000003#C17 (similarity 0.6)
  C10: entrylib:2026.000003#C17 (similarity 0.9)

ISSUES, those of the principal claims first, most costly first:

P1. Verifiability: unverifiable.
  Check: verifiability (group: checkable); costs up to 45 points.
  Lowers: C3 (-45), C9 (-45), C10 (-45), C11 (-45).
  To fix: Make the data, code and models the claim rests on available, or state why they cannot be.

P2. Rests on an unchecked proof.
  Check: support_kind (group: support); costs up to 25 points.
  Lowers: C1 (-20), C2 (-25), C3 (-10), C4 (-20), C5 (-25), C6 (-25), C7 (-20), C8 (-25), C9 (-10), C10 (-10).
  To fix: Support the claim with evidence the claimset records, citing the result entries or table rows it reports, or have its proof checked.

P3. A principal claim that declares no limitation.
  Check: no_limitation (group: open); costs up to 10 points.
  Lowers: C4 (-10).
  To fix: Declare what could bias, reverse or limit the claim within its scope, each as a limitation that affects it.

P4. A principal claim reported without a plan recorded beforehand.
  Check: exploratory_principal (group: plan); costs up to 5 points.
  Lowers: C3 (-5), C4 (-5), C9 (-5), C10 (-5).
  To fix: Plan the measurement in the lab record or a registration before running it, or publish the lab record that shows every run.

P5. A principal claim related to no earlier work.
  Check: no_prior_work (group: context); costs up to 5 points.
  Lowers: C9 (-5).
  To fix: Relate the claim to the earlier work it extends, addresses or departs from.

P6. Assumption C12 is not checked: The multiplicative error term $(1+\epsilon_t)$ in pure multiplicative ETS models is independent and identically distributed with unit expectation $E(1+\epsilon_t) = 1$.
  Check: unchecked_assumption (group: open); costs up to 3 points.
  Lowers: C1 (-3), C2 (-3), C3 (-3), C4 (-3), C5 (-3), C6 (-3), C7 (-3), C8 (-3), C9 (-3), C10 (-3), C11 (-3).
  Concerns: C12.
  To fix: Test the assumption, or analyse how sensitive the claim is to it.

P7. Limitation L1 (reduces transferability, not mitigated): Conditional expectations for pure multiplicative ETS models other than $ETS(M,N,N)$ lack closed-form analytical expressions and require Monte Carlo simulation.
  Check: limitation (group: open); costs up to 1 points.
  Lowers: C1 (-1).
  Concerns: L1.
  To fix: Mitigate it with evidence, or narrow the claim's scope so that it no longer applies.

P8. Limitation L2 (reduces transferability, not mitigated): Simulation experiment 1 evaluates point forecast bias exclusively on $ETS(M,Md,N)$ with Inverse Gaussian errors and known true parameters.
  Check: limitation (group: open); costs up to 1 points.
  Lowers: C3 (-1).
  Concerns: L2.
  To fix: Mitigate it with evidence, or narrow the claim's scope so that it no longer applies.

P9. Limitation L4 (reduces transferability, not mitigated): Simulation experiment 2 uses a single fixed parameter vector with error standard deviation $\sigma = 0.1$, where multiplicative errors remain small enough that Normal and logarithmic approximations behave regularly.
  Check: limitation (group: open); costs up to 1 points.
  Lowers: C9 (-1), C10 (-1).
  Concerns: L4.
  To fix: Mitigate it with evidence, or narrow the claim's scope so that it no longer applies.

P10. Limitation L3 (reduces precision, not mitigated): The Log-Normal concentrated log-likelihood under unit-mean restriction is non-convex, creating potential local optima during numerical optimisation.
  Check: limitation (group: open); costs up to 3 points.
  Lowers: C7 (-3).
  Concerns: L3.
  To fix: Mitigate it with evidence, or narrow the claim's scope so that it no longer applies.

P11. Limitation L5 (reduces transferability, not mitigated): The real-life demonstration relies on a single proprietary daily electric vehicle charging series that cannot be publicly shared under a non-disclosure agreement.
  Check: limitation (group: open); costs up to 1 points.
  Lowers: C11 (-1).
  Concerns: L5.
  To fix: Mitigate it with evidence, or narrow the claim's scope so that it no longer applies.

P12. Numbers in the statement match no recorded result.
  Check: numbers_without_results (group: context); costs up to 5 points.
  Lowers: C11 (-5).
  To fix: Record each number as a result or table cell of the evidence the claim cites, and list it in the support's results; or correct the number.

CLAIMS: score (band): issues
C1: 76 (medium): P2 (-20), P6 (-3), P7 (-1)
C2: 72 (medium): P2 (-25), P6 (-3)
C3: 36 (low): P1 (-45), P2 (-10), P4 (-5), P6 (-3), P8 (-1)
C4: 62 (medium): P2 (-20), P3 (-10), P4 (-5), P6 (-3)
C5: 72 (medium): P2 (-25), P6 (-3)
C6: 72 (medium): P2 (-25), P6 (-3)
C7: 74 (medium): P2 (-20), P10 (-3), P6 (-3)
C8: 72 (medium): P2 (-25), P6 (-3)
C9: 31 (low): P1 (-45), P2 (-10), P4 (-5), P5 (-5), P6 (-3), P9 (-1)
C10: 36 (low): P1 (-45), P2 (-10), P4 (-5), P6 (-3), P9 (-1)
C11: 46 (low): P1 (-45), P12 (-5), P6 (-3), P11 (-1)